Backing for Fiscal Panelfs Plan Grows

Published: December 3, 2010 - New York Times

WASHINGTON — President Obama said he would consider adopting some of the recommendations in the provocative debt-reduction plan from his fiscal commission, which wrapped up work on Friday with more of a bipartisan accord than even its members had expected.

Soon after the commission finished — with 11 of its 18 members backing the package of deep spending cuts and revenue increases — Mr. Obama issued a statement praising the panelfs work. Without embracing any particular ideas, he said he would review them all as he looks for ways to gcorrect our fiscal course.h

gThe commissionfs majority report includes a number of specific proposals that I — along with my economic team — will study closely in the coming weeks as we develop our budget and our priorities for the coming year,h Mr. Obama said in a statement distributed by the White House as the president visited troops in Afghanistan.

The plan is an attempt to shave $4 trillion from projected deficits over the coming decade. It reflects the view that chronic deficits and mounting debt, driven by fast-rising health care costs and an aging population, must be addressed aggressively even as the economy requires government help to recover from a deep recession.

The package would make deep cuts — most of them starting in 2012, given the economyfs fragility — in both domestic and military spending. It would overhaul the tax code, eliminating or reducing the $1 trillion a year in popular tax breaks for individuals and corporations. The resulting revenues would be used mostly to slash income tax rates, but also to reduce deficits.

To ensure the solvency of Social Security for 75 years, it would raise payroll taxes for the affluent and reduce future benefits, including by slowly raising the retirement age for full benefits to 69 from 67 by 2075.

With the administration at work on Mr. Obamafs State of the Union address and the release of his annual budget in late January, officials had said privately that there was interest in borrowing the commissionfs calls for overhauling the tax code and fixing Social Security — if the panel could show the way to a bipartisan agreement. But the administration is far from such decisions as it weighs how to proceed now that Congressional Republicans have won control of the House and picked up seats in the Senate, beginning next month.

Several Republicans welcomed the commissionfs plan, but were vague about the specific elements they might seek to turn into policy. Senator Michael D. Crapo of Idaho, a member of the commission who supported the plan, called for gimmediate and aggressive action.h And the Senate minority leader, Mitch McConnell of Kentucky, issued a statement saying, gIt is my hope that this effort will serve as a catalyst for achieving the spending and entitlement reform that our country so desperately needs.h

But in a sign of where the political opposition might be most intense, the plan was rejected by the three House Republicans on the panel, all of whom will hold key positions in the new Congress.

Their position exposed a break with Senate Republicans, all three of whom on the commission supported the blueprint. That split in part reflects the different roles the Republicans will have in the House and Senate. While Republicans have picked up seats in the Senate, they remain in the minority there. House Republicans, having won a majority after campaigning as a conservative alternative to the Obama administration, say they are obligated to fulfill their vision rather than compromise. They also face pressure from the Tea Party movement, which has made slashing government spending the centerpiece of its agenda.

The commission did not formally vote because support for the plan written by the co-chairmen — Erskine B. Bowles, the president of the University of North Carolina system and a former chief of staff to President Bill Clinton, and Alan K. Simpson, a former Republican Senate leader from Wyoming — fell three votes short of the 14-vote supermajority required to send the package to Congress under the terms of Mr. Obamafs executive order that established the panel.

The 11 supporters were evenly split between the parties — five Democrats and five Republicans, along with an independent, Ann M. Fudge, the former chief executive of Young & Rubicam.

Despite that bipartisan majority, the outcome at best sent ambiguous signals about whether the White House and Congress could reach an agreement, given the political pain behind the tax and spending decisions that are required.

Several supporters said that although they backed the thrust of the plan, they would not vote for it as actual legislation given their opposition to various provisions. One such supporter was Senator Richard J. Durbin of Illinois, the second-ranking Senate Democrat and Mr. Obamafs closest Senate ally. He said the package was not balanced between spending cuts and tax increases and it took gtoo much away from programs that support the neediest.h

Yet even the planfs opponents said it should serve as ga template,h in the words of Representative Xavier Becerra, a Democrat from California.

Another opponent on the panel, Andy Stern, the former president of the Service Employees International Union, said, gThis plan deserves a vote, and this president needs to make sure that by the State of the Union he also has his own plan and his own leadership because this is the issue of our time that must be solved.h

While the committeefs deliberations underscored the deep divisions over how to address the nationfs fiscal imbalances, they also suggested opportunities for agreement between Democrats who generally oppose reductions in domestic spending, especially for Social Security and Medicare, and Republicans who oppose tax increases.

Members of both parties, for example, hailed the proposed tax overhaul because it would simplify the code, rid it of costly and confusing tax breaks and allow for lower rates. Republicans as well as Democrats supported cuts from military programs. And some Democrats endorsed the Social Security changes, with Mr. Durbin acknowledging that he had shocked his liberal allies by endorsing a slow increase in the retirement age for full benefits.

While the package will not get a vote in Congress, groups from the left and right and from business and labor mobilized as a precaution in opposition. And there were signs that the panelfs work had encouraged lawmakers who favored tough steps to reduce deficits. Fourteen moderate Senate Democrats, led by Senator Mark Warner of Virginia, wrote to Congressional leaders on Friday urging comprehensive action on a similar package.

Senator Kent Conrad of North Dakota, the chairman of the Senate Budget Committee and a commission member who supported the plan, said, gI never thought there was much prospect of getting 14 votesh to meet the threshold for a vote in Congress. But even with 11 votes, he added, gWe have provided, I believe, a strong message to our colleagues and to the country of what has to be done.h

A version of this article appeared in print on December 4, 2010, on page A12 of the New York edition.